New York Mets (89-73) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (95-67)
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies October 5 2024 – With the intensifying of the different league playoffs in MLB, the first game of the National League Division series pits the New York Mets against the Philadelphia Phillies at the Citizens Bank Park. Fans should prepare for an entertaining showdown as the Mets and their powerful Phillies opponent attempt to make the most out of the recent playoff qualification. It is no secret that both clubs have been engaged in a bitter rivalry, and given their form of late, this contest promises to be amongst the best daily MLB free previews.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies October 5 2024 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 4:08 PM ET |
| Where: | Citizens Bank Park |
| TV: | FOX, ESPN |
| Stream: | MLB.TV |
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Mets | +159 | +1.5 (-139) | 7.5 over (-102) |
| Phillies | -189 | -1.5 (+113) | 7.5 under (-125) |
These odds suggest a tilt towards the Phillies, seen as favorites with their -189 moneyline and a 1.5-run advantage on the spread. The Mets’ +1.5 spread implies they are underdogs but expected to keep it close. The over/under at 7.5 runs is a nod to both teams’ pitching strengths and recent scoring trends, indicating a potentially tight, low-scoring game.
David Peterson (10-3, 2.9 ERA) vs. Zack Wheeler (16-7, 2.57 ERA)
David Peterson is surely one of the reliable Mets’ starters for this year with 10 wins vs. 3 losses and rather impressive earned run average of 2.9. More recently, however, it is his ability to stop losing that has come in handy as he has had to play such situations on a number of occasions. The way Peterson handles and places his pitches becomes instrumental to the Philadelphia offense and their chances of achieving it.
Zack Wheeler, on the other hand, has had quite a pleasant season, sporting 16 wins, 7 losses and 2.57 ERA to boast of. Wheeler, like every other competent pitcher out there, believes strikes out everyone he comes up against, posting 224 strikeouts with merely 200 in innings pitched. With a WHIP which is at 0.96, it means he does not allow a large number of base runners which will be quite beneficial in maintaining the lead with the metropolitans who are very troublesome.
Peterson and Wheeler are a pitcher’s battle that one could forever sit and admire. Wheeler plays the attacking style exuding fire from the mound while Peterson in most cases hones himself to the changing needs of this playoff game. A battle of wits and strategies employed by both pitchers could prove to be the most significant factor in this contest.
Analyzing the Mets’ Season Performance
The New York Mets have shown resilience throughout the season, reflected in their .246 batting average and 207 home runs. While not stellar, their slugging and on-base percentages have been sufficient to keep them competitive. The Mets’ pitching staff, with a team ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.26, has been effective but will need to be at its best against a higher-scoring Phillies team.
Dissecting the Phillies’ Campaign
The Philadelphia Phillies have been slightly superior with the bat, posting a .257 average and notching up 198 home runs. Their on-base percentage (.325) and slugging percentage (.425) indicate a team that can capitalize on scoring opportunities. With a slightly better pitching staff sporting a 3.85 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, the Phillies have a slight edge, especially when playing at home where they’ve been particularly strong.
New York Mets Betting Trends
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
Mets are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League East Division division.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets’ last 9 games played in October.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets’ last 9 games played on a Saturday when on the road.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games against NY Mets.
Philadelphia are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home.
Philadelphia are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against NY Mets.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Previews
In light of the in-depth search and the betting patterns, it seems that the Philadelphia Phillies are the likelier team to win this game. The pitching of the Phillies combined with their brilliant home record gives the Mets trouble, but it appears it will be a closer game with the home team having the advantage. For punters who want to go deeper into the match, prop bets on Zack Wheeler’s Total Strikeouts or the Phillies being the first team to score may prove to be interesting.
Browsing through one of the popular betting websites, the Phillies are worthy of a gamble. Judging by how both teams have been scoring recently when, the over-under total of runs may be worth a wager triad despite the good starting pitchers.
Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 3.
