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New York Mets (89-73) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (93-69)

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers October 1 2024 – The NL Wild Card Game 1 between the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers is critical to it. On October 1, 2024, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, this match guarantees thrills and a tactical clash between two strong teams. As the Brewers managed to finish a tad higher in the regular season standings, this encounter is one of the most awaited early playoff games, offering a hint of playoff tension. Make sure you read us for sharp takes and free MLB previews.

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers October 1 2024 Game Info

When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024, at 5:32 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: ESPN
Stream: MLB.TV

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Mets +115 +1.5 (-198) 7.5 over (-105)
Brewers -135 -1.5 (+164) 7.5 under (-115)

The odds reflect a tight contest with the Brewers favored to win. The Mets’ positive moneyline indicates less confidence in their victory, despite the handicap spread suggesting a close game. Bettors might find value in the Mets’ spread, especially with a relatively low total score predicted.

Luis Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA) vs. Freddy Peralta (11-9, 3.68 ERA)

As for the Mets, starting pitcher Luis Severino has had a fairly good season to this point with a 3.91 ERA. Severino is also very good at getting strikeouts, with 161 punchouts in 182 innings. For a pitcher such as Severino, one weak point might be how many long balls he surrendered (23 HRs) and more importantly, when facing a team such as the Milwaukee Brewers, who are very good tacticians and more aggressive, the concern will be warranted.

Freddy Peralta for the Brewers, on the contrary, poses a more significant threat as he has a better ERA of 3.68 and has recorded an impressive list of strikeouts totaling 200 within a shorter span of pitching mew of 173.2 innings pitched. On the other hand, his control has been a bit less steady as he has issued 68 walks, which could be a weakness for the Mets’ bats.

The clash between Severino and Peralta promises to be among the highlights in the course of this matchup. The risk of Severino’s tendency to go for the strikeout and the ability to deliver clutch performances by Peralta creates an exciting duel between the two pitchers. It is likely that the outcome of this game will be influenced by the way the players cope with the pressure and take advantage of their opponent’s weaknesses.

Analyzing the Mets: Striking the Numbers

The Mets boast a respectable team batting average (.247) and a solid slugging percentage (.416), highlighted by their 205 home runs this season. Their performance on the road has been less than stellar, which might concern their supporters. The team’s ability to consistently get on base (.320 OBP) will be critical in setting up scoring opportunities.

Analyzing the Brewers: Power at the Plate

The Brewers slightly edge out the Mets with a batting average of .248 and an OBP of .326. While they have fewer home runs (177), their overall hitting strategy has allowed them to rack up more runs (777). The Brewers’ slugging percentage (.403) combined with their superior ERA (3.65) and WHIP (1.23) highlights their balanced strength in both pitching and batting.

New York Mets Betting Trends

Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.

New York Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread

Mets are 33-47 in their road games against the spread

The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets’ last 5 games

The totals have gone OVER in 28 of Mets’ 80 last games at home

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Milwaukee Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread

Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread

The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers’ last 5 games

The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers’ 81 last games at home

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Previews

Taking into account the good form of the Brewers, coupled with their wise pitching structure, it is the safer option. On the other hand, the Mets winning offense and the dog role of underdog might be more profitable to risk-loving bettors. The prospect of this game makes it seem like there will be tough competition but more of a defensive game that is likely to be low and hence the under bet on total runs scored is a good decision to make.

In the final analysis, it is advisable to take into account the form of both teams and Betting History before making a stake in this game. In this game, the Brewers are slightly more on the favorites in terms of both team stats and current form, but not without some fierce competition from the Mets, who are likely to retain the balance of this game. For more fun in betting, you may want to consider going for prop bets on the number of strikeout totals or the score in the first inning. Engage in lawful online betting and ensure to bet responsibly as you enjoy the thrills of postseason baseball.

Score Prediction: Brewers 3, Mets 2.  

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